The Meeting: Barrack is heading to Damascus to propose the final integration agreement. Fidan will attend to guarantee Turkish interests are preserved.
The Deal:
SDF gets administrative decentralization and integration as three army divisions.
The Catch: The Syrian Army enters SDF territory fully with freedom of action. Turkey retains the right to strike security threats.
The Consequence:
If accepted, Damascus takes back administrative and police control.
This kills the PYD’s separatist project (Ghazal/Al Hijri) and ends the use of local resources to fund Öcalan’s ideology.
Syrian Ministries of Defense and Interior will have the power to fire or relocate integrated SDF personnel.
The Failed Strategy: The SDF attempted to use “decentralization” as a smokescreen to maintain de facto power and mislead Turkey, hoping the US would back their soft-power monopoly. This failed.
US Policy Shift: Barrack has navigated the US away from the “McGurkian” pro-SDF stance. The US now accepts Sharaa’s “reasonable” demand for government entry into the Northeast.
The Ultimatum:
Plan A: SDF capitulates and integrates.
Plan B: The US withdraws support, allowing Syria and Turkey to decisively defeat the SDF militarily.
Note: CENTCOM has already cleared Deir ez-Zor and Raqqa for entry.
Military Reality: During the battles of Ras al-Ayn, the SDF lost despite having the Syrian Army protecting their flanks. Now, they face a hostile Turkey and a hostile Syria on all borders. Resistance is futile.
Russia: Russia has ceased SDF support, reportedly trading influence to use the Qamishli base for recruiting personnel for the war in Ukraine.
Source:@SyrianPolymath
