By Prof. Dr. Ahmet Uysal
🔸Israel is nothing without the support by the #USA or the West
🔸#Israel does not want any strong state in the region, including Iran, #Turkiye, #SaudiArabi or #Egypt
🔸Israel and the USA don’t want regime change in #Iran because they need it.
🔸#Putin is happy about the war as it distracts the world from #Ukraine and #Russia has good relations with both sides.
🔸#China is OK with the current war but is worried about escalation that will interrupt the oil flow from the #MiddleEast.
🔸#IronDome is doomed (not safe) and Israelis tasted insecurity for the first time since the 1970s.
🔸#Turkiye and the #Arab contries are worried about the escalation that might cause further destruction, instability, migration, terrorism, sectarianism, economic burdens in the region.
🔸Prolonging the war would serve Iran more than Israel.
🔸If the war ends today, it would be registered as a failure for Israel and Western hegemony.
🔸This failure image makes the situation more dangerous because the egoistic Trump and Netanyahu would not except the failure and will push the envelop.
🔸#Netanyahu cannot topple the Iranian regime but a major failure might topple the Netanyahu cabinet.
🔸Only the #USA can force a regime change in Iran, leading further escalation (including the closing of the strait of #Hormuz).
