The recent national security documents from China and the US, declaring their candidacies for leadership in the new multipolar world, necessitate an evaluation in terms of our region, particularly the Palestinian cause, Syria’s unity and integrity, and within this framework, the rapidly approaching conflict between Turkey and Israel.
Although the time since the publication of these documents is too short to obtain evaluations from the diplomatic and national defense mechanisms of the four countries in question, when we talk about countries like Turkey and Israel with entrenched policies, and Palestine and Syria, whose foreign affairs and militaries are constantly on alert, no matter what changes in the plans, projects, designs, intrigues, or conspiracies—whatever you call them—in the dreams (or on the drawing boards) of the US and China, there won’t be much change in the aspect facing us. Israel won’t abandon its expansionist obsession that endangers the security of its own 10 million citizens just because “the US is withdrawing from the leadership of the unipolar world.”
However… There is a new element that could enable Israel to escape this quagmire of “All of Palestine belongs to Israel; Israel is only for Jews!” and allow the majority not captive to Zionism to finally have a say, and this element does not stem from the strategy documents of the US or China. This element is the reaction created by the killing of Palestinians—70,000 buried in the ground, but an equal number still under the rubble of destroyed buildings—using false expressions like “October 7 raid, Hamas terror, murder of 1200 Israelis.”
For 70 years, Western countries that have pursued a staunchly pro-Israel policy, along with the world’s peoples—Jews, Christians, Muslims from every nation, especially the youth, intellectuals, businesspeople, and (albeit few) some politicians—have risen up, upending Israel’s strategic equation.
In this equation, until now, one side had the cost of building a Zionist army; the price of isolation policies emerging in some countries and institutions. To this, we must add the so-called “price” Israel has paid since its existence: occupying all the lands the UN allocated for the new Palestine, forcing the Arab people who have lived in the real Palestinian lands for thousands of years out of their homes, villages, and cities to migrate to other countries (ethnic cleansing), and killing those who still refuse to leave and stay in their homes (genocide).
On the benefit side of the equation, there was the strategic depth gained as Israel, control over the region’s main water sources, the opportunity to establish new settlements, and preventing the establishment of Palestine. All governments in Israel—leftist or rightist, religious or secular, but all captive to Zionism—and all politicians compared the pros and cons of this equation and decided to continue the existing policy. (We must exclude from this group Yitzhak Rabin, who made the first and last serious peace agreement with the Palestinians and paid the price by being assassinated in 1995.)
The Zionist structure that keeps Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, for whom the International Criminal Court has issued an arrest warrant, in power despite lacking a parliamentary majority, sees that this equation is broken. What is the way to turn world public opinion back in favor of the Zionist Israel idea? Repeating the October 7 scenario: “Islamic terrorists murdering innocent Jews at worship.” If the US is somehow keeping Hamas under control, and the new regime in Syria (whose arrival is still unclear) ISIS, then for such a provocation, for example, in a coastal city in Australia, a father-son duo of Indian Muslims “inspired” by ISIS ideology murdering a group of Jews celebrating their holiday would be quite suitable.
No matter how much Netanyahu repeats his old rhetoric, saying “Israel’s joint struggle with the US against the barbarians continues,” now one side of this equation has a global world public opinion against Zionism.
